Projections from usage. Three seasons of target share, carry share and snap rate — not name recognition. Camp news applied by hand through August.
Weekly shape, not just totals. Each player carries a skew fitted from his own game logs, because a few enormous weeks matter more than a tidy average.
Top-down meets bottom-up. Projections are checked against Vegas team totals, so a position room adds up to what the offense actually produces — not a pile of optimistic individuals.
Injuries and contingency. Seasons are simulated with injuries, and a starter's workload flows down the depth chart when he goes down. Handcuffs and ambiguous backfields carry real value, not just a roster spot.
Game-script cascading. Each game rolls a shared shootout environment — both teams' receivers and quarterbacks spike in the same high-scoring games, and running backs are damped when the pace turns to passing.
One engine, two tools. The extension runs the simulator's own code, copied in at build time, with a check that fails the build if they diverge.
Open the simulator free — no account needed.